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Stolen
Election "If this
were a dictatorship, it would be a heck of a lot easier, just so long
as I'm the dictator." Florida and Ohio were the two most important swing states in the 2004 United States presidential election. The margin of error for a 95% confidence interval is +/- 3% for the national exit poll and +/- 4% for the 50 state exit polls (1). On November 2, 2004, the exit polls showed John Kerry with a lead over George W. Bush of 3 percentage points in Florida and 4 percentage points in Ohio (2)(3). As it stands today, November 5, 2004, John Kerry has ended up losing Florida to George W. Bush by 5.2 percentage points (4) and in Ohio he has ended up losing by 2.5 percentage points (5). The difference between the Florida exit poll and the final results are 8.2 percentage points. This is more than double the +/- 4% error rate for this exit poll. This 105% increase in the error rate is statistically next to impossible to happen. For the 67 county-by-county breakdowns on this take a look at "Surprising Pattern of Florida's Election Results" (6). The difference between the Ohio exit poll and the final results are 6.5 percentage points. This is a 62.5% increase in the +/- 4% error rate for this exit poll. A 62.5% increase in the error rate is statistically very unlikely to occur. Together, the likelihood of Florida and Ohio both seeing such differences from their exit polls to the final results are statistically impossible. Therefore the only conclusion one could possibly derive from this statistic impossibility is that this was a stolen election. The new electronic voting machines with no paper receipts are suspect (7). About The National Election Pool Exit Poll Edison Media Research (8) and Mitofsky International (9) conducted exit polls in each state and nationally for the National Election Pool, a cooperative agreement among the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC news (10). There are 31 current subscribers to their service (11). The Election Day survey was based on 11,027 interviews with voters who cast their votes at 1,480 precincts selected to be a representative sample of states and the nation as a whole. Telephone interviews were used to supplement results in states that allow early voting through absentee ballots or other options. The exit polls surveyed 2,846 voters in Florida and 1,963 in Ohio (12). The polling places
were selected as a stratified probability sample of each state. The
purpose of stratification is to group together precincts with similar
vote characteristics. A recent past election was used to identify all
the precincts, as they existed for that election. The total vote in
each precinct and the partisan division of the vote from this past race
are used for the stratification. In addition, counties are used for
stratifying the precincts. The total vote also is used to determine
the probability of selection. Each voter in a state has approximately
the same chance of being selected in the sample (1). Why did CNN.com change their Ohio exit poll numbers after 1:05am? The first graphic was taken from CNN.com at 1:05am on November 3, 2004. The exit poll chart shows John Kerry leading George W. Bush by two percentage points. The second graphic was taken from CNN.com at 6:41am on November 3, 2004. This new exit poll chart shows George W. Bush leading John Kerry by five percentage points. How To Cover Up The Stolen Election I also very much
enjoyed Senator John McCain (the Bush administration's supposed non-partisan
heaviest hitter) going on the Tonight Show on Thursday, November 4,
2004 (the perfect day), to try to quell any talk of mischief in the
Florida and Ohio exit polls vs. the final results. Bringing out McCain
coupled with the perfect timing to try to cover up this stolen election
is a dead give away of what truly happened. 2) http://tinyurl.com/4yx5g 3) http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=2519038 4) http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL 5) http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH 6) http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm 7) http://blackboxvoting.org 8) http://www.edisonresearch.com 9) http://www.mitofskyinternational.com 10) http://www.exit-poll.net/pool.html 11) http://www.exit-poll.net/election-night/subscribers.html 12) http://tinyurl.com/4ongn |